May 18 – May 23, 2025 Economic report and policy meeting
May 18
China: Unemployment Rate – April, Retail Sales (YoY) – April, Industrial Production (YoY) – April, House Price Index (YoY) – April, Fixed Asset Investment YTD (YoY) – April
U.S.: Federal Reserve’s Williams Speech
May 19
Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision, RBA Press Conference
China: Loan Prime Rate 1 Yr., Loan Prime Rate 5 Yr – May
Euro-Zone: Consumer Price Index (CPI) – April, Spain: Balance of Trade – March, Netherlands: Consumer Confidence – May, Germany: Producer Price Index (PPI) (YoY) - April
U.S.: Federal Reserve’s Bostic, Jefferson, Williams, Logan, and Kashkari Speeches
May 20
Australia: Investment
Canada: Inflation Rate (YoY) – April, Consumer Price Index (CPI) Trimmed-Mean (YoY) – April, CPI Median (YoY) – April, Inflation Rate (MoM) – April, Core Inflation Rate (YoY) - April
Euro-Zone: Consumer Confidence – May, Spain: Consumer Confidence - April
Japan: Balance of Trade – April, Exports (YoY) – April
New Zealand: Balance of Trade - April
U.K.: Inflation Rate (YoY) – April, Inflation Rate (MoM) – April, Core Inflation Rate (YoY) - April
U.S.: API Crude Oil Stock Change – May 16, Federal Reserve’s Barkin, Bostic, Collins, Musalem, Kugler, Hammack and Daly Speeches
May 21
Australia: S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, S&P Global Services PMI - May
Canada: New Housing Price Index (YoY and MoM) – April
Japan: Machinery Orders (YoY and MoM) – March, Jibun Bank Services Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, Jibun Bank Services PMI – May, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Noguchi Speech
Euro-Zone: France: Business Confidence
U.S.: Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) 30-Year Mortgage Rate – May 16, EIA Crude Oil Stock Change – May 16, EIA Gasoline Stocks Change – May 16, Federal Reserve’s Barkin Speech
May 22
Canada: Housing Starts - April
Japan: GDP
Euro-Zone: HCOB Services Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, HCOB Manufacturing PMI – May, France: HCOB Manufacturing PMI – May, HCOB Services PMI – May, Germany: HCOB Services PMI – May, HCOB Manufacturing PMI – May, Ifo Business Climate – May, ECB Guindos Speech, HCOB Composite Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, France: HCOB Composite PMI – May, Germany: HCOB Composite PMI – May, ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, France: Consumer Confidence - May
Japan: Inflation Rate (YoY) – April, Core Inflation Rate (YoY) - April
New Zealand: Retail Sales (YoY and QoQ) – 1st Qtr.
U.K.: S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index – May, S&P Global Services PMI – May, Retail Sales excluding Fuel (YoY) – April, Retail Sales (MoM) – April, Retail Sales excluding Fuel (MoM) – April, Retail Sales (YoY) – April, Gfk Consumer Confidence - May
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims – May 17, Continuing Jobless Claims – May 10, Jobless Claims 4-Week Average – May 17, S&P Global Services Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI – May, Existing Home Sales (MoM) – April, Existing Home Sales – April, Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index – April, S&P Global Composite Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) – May, Federal Reserve’s Williams Speech
S&P Global releases both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for May. Consensus estimates are for a 49.8 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and a 50.6 for the Services PMI. This compares with readings of 50.2 and 50.8 respectively, in April. The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for April. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.1 million homes sold, about 2% more than previously. March’s existing-home sales were the lowest for that month since 2009.
May 23
Canada: Retail Sales excluding Autos (MoM) – March, Retail Sales (YoY) – March, Retail Sales (MoM) – March, Retail Sales (MoM) - April
China: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) YTD (YoY) - April
Euro-Zone: Negotiated Wage Growth – 1st Qtr.
U.S.: New Home Sales (MoM) – April, New Home Sales – April, Federal Reserve’s Cook Speech
The Census Bureau reports new-home sales for April. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 690,000 new single-family homes sold, 34,000 less than in March.
Bold denotes likely market-moving newsflash which traders consider significant to foreign exchange levels or otherwise important/noteworthy information, i.e., market holiday’s which will affect standard settlement dates.
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