October 5 – October 10, 2025 Economic report/policy meeting
October 6
Australia: Westpac Consumer Confidence Change – October, Westpac Consumer Confidence Index - October
Euro-Zone: Retail Sales (YoY and MoM) – August, European Central Bank (ECB)’s Guindos Speech, Germany: Factory Orders (MoM) – August, France: Balance of Trade – August
Japan: Household Spending (YoY and MoM) – August
Switzerland: Unemployment Rate – September
U.K.: S&P Global Construction Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) – September, Halifax House Price Index (YoY and MoM) – September, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Bailey Speech
It is a national holiday in Australia, with no FX settlement due to banks being closed.
October 7
Canada: Balance of Trade – August, Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) s.a. – September
Euro-Zone: European Central Bank (ECB) President Lagarde Speech, Germany: Industrial Production (MoM) – August
Japan: Current Account – August
New Zealand: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RNBZ) Interest Rate Decision
U.S.: Balance of Trade – August, Imports – August, Exports – August, API Crude Oil Stock Change – October 3, Federal Reserve’s Bostic, Bowman, Miran, and Kashkari all give economic speeches
October 8
Euro-Zone: Germany: Balance of Trade – August, Exports (MoM) – August, European Central Bank (ECB) President Lagarde Speech
U.K.: RICS House Price Balance – September
U.S.: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) 30-Year Mortgage Rate – October 3, EIA Gasoline Stocks Change – October 3, EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change – October 3, Federal Reserve’s Barr, and Kashkari speeches
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary-policy meeting. The FOMC cut the federal-funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4%-4.25% at that confab, with newly appointed Federal Reserve governor Stephen Miran dissenting in favor of a half a point rate cut. Traders are fully expecting another quarter-point cut at the FOMC’s late-October meeting.
October 9
Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia Bullock and Kent Speeches
Euro-Zone: European Central Bank (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
New Zealand: Business New Zealand Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) - September
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims – September 27 and October 4, Continuing Jobless Claims – September 20 & 27, Jobless Claims 4-Week Average – September 27, Federal Reserve Chair Powell Speech, Federal Reserve’s Bowman, and Barr Speeches
October 10
Canada: Employment Change – September, Unemployment Rate – September, Full Time Employment Change – September, Part Time Employment Change – September, Participation Rate – September
Euro-Zone: Italy: Industrial Production (MoM) - August
Switzerland: Consumer Confidence - September
U.S.: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment – October, Monthly Budget Statement – September, Federal Reserve’s Goolsbee and Musalem Speeches
The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment survey for October. Consensus estimate is for a 54.5 reading, slightly less than September’s 55.1. Consumers’ expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 4.7% in September, and 3.7% for longer-run inflation. There has been a deep disconnect for several years between a rising stock market and dour consumer sentiment.
Bold denotes likely market-moving newsflash which traders consider significant to foreign exchange levels or otherwise important/noteworthy information, i.e., market holiday’s which will affect standard settlement dates.
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